7 Picks for Sahith Theegala, Davis Riley, More

Click arrow to expand 2022 3M Open odds via WynnBet.

2022 3M Open Odds

Golfer Odds
Hideki Matsuyama +1600
Tony Finau +1600
Sungjae Im +1800
Davis Riley +2200
Maverick McNealy +2200
Adam Hadwin +2500
Cam Davis +2500
Sahith Theegala +2500
Cameron Tringale +2800
Brendan Steele +3300
Adam Long +3500
Adam Svensson +3500
JT Poston +3500
Joohyung Kim +3500
Chez Reavie +4000
Martin Laird +4000
Nick Hardy +4000
Christopher Gotterup +4500
Wyndham Clark +4500
Brandon Todd +5000
Jason Day +5000
Matthew Nesmith +5000
Emiliano Grillo +5500
CT Pan +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Troy Merritt +6000
Cameron Champ +6600
Doug Ghim +7000
Dylan Frittelli +7000
Ryan Palmer +7000
Tom Hoge +7000
Michael Thompson +7500
Austin Smotherman +8000
Matthias Schwab +8000
Tyler Duncan +8000
Callum Tarren +9000
Lucas Glover +9000
Nick Taylor +9000
Beau Hossler +10000
Garrick Higgo +10000
Grayson Sigg +10000
John Huh +10000
Michael Gligic +10000
Nate Lashley +10000
Stephan Jaeger +10000
Stewart Zink +10000
Adam Schenk +11000
Andrew Putnam +11000
Hayden Buckley +11000
Kramer Hickok +11000
Patton Kizzire +11000
Brice Garnett +12500
Chesson Hadley +12500
Danny Lee +12500
Danny Willett +12500
Hank Lebioda +12500
Lee Hodges +12500
Brandon Matthews +15000
James Hahn +15000
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Justin Lower +15000
Kelly Craft +15000
Matt Wallace +15000
Peter Malnati +15000
Ryan Armour +15000
Ryan Moore +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Scott Piercy +15000
Andrew Novak +17500
Austin Cook +20000
Chase Seiffert +20000
Doc Redman +20000
Harry Higgs +20000
Robert Streb +20000
Satoshi Kodaira +20000
Scott Gutschewski +20000
Ben Kohles +25000
Bill Haas +25000
Bo Hoag +25000
Brandon Hagy +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Henrik Norlander +25000
Kevin Chappell +25000
Kevin Tway +25000
Sean O’Hair +25000
Vaughn Taylor +25000
Cole Hammer +27500
Brian Steward +30000
Cameron Percy +30000
Camilo Villegas +30000
Chris Stroud +30000
David Lingmerth +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Paul Barjon +30000
Aaron Baddeley +35000
Richie Werenski +35000
Roger Sloan +35000
Andrew Landry +40000
Ben Martin +40000
Chris Naegel +40000
Dylan Menante +40000
Jason Dufner +40000
Scott Brown +40000
Seth Reeves +40000
Seung-Yul Noh +40000
Grayson Murray +50000
Jeff Overton +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Rick Lamb +50000
Daniel Gale +60000
Sung Kang +60000
Andre Metzger +75000
Bo Van Pelt +75000
Brian Gay +75000
Curtis Thompson +75000
David Hearn +75000
David Skinns +75000
Greg Chalmers +75000
Jared Wolfe +75000
Jim Knows +75000
Nick Watney +75000
Robert Garrigus +75000
Ryan Brehm +75000
Tommy Gainey +75000
Wesley Bryan +75000
Arjun Atwal +100000
Ben Crane +100000
Brett Drewitt +100000
DJ Trahan +100000
Dawie van der Walt +100000
Derek Ernst +100000
Jason Gore +100000
Jonas Blicht +100000
KJ Choi +100000
Derek Lameley +150000
George McNeill +150000
Jason Bohn +150000
Matt Every +150000
Paul Goydos +150000
Ricky Barnes +150000
DA Points +150000
JJ Henry +150000
Jeff Sorenson +150000
John Huston +200000
John Merrick +200000
Kevin Stadler +200000
Mo Lim +200000
Ted Potter Jr. +200000
Brian Davis +250000
Daniel Chopra +250000
Mardy Fish +250000
Parker McLachlin +250000
Ted Purdy +250000

The PGA TOUR is back stateside, as it begins its final stretch toward the FedExCup Playoffs with the 2022 3M Open.

We have three events left before the playoffs get underway, starting this week in the Twin Cities. This will be the fourth edition of the 3M Open, with all three winners entering the tournament at 100-1 or higher on the odds board.

We have plenty of young talent on display this week, and it could be a good chance for someone like Sahith Theegala or Davis Riley to claim their first PGA TOUR victory. Or someone will make a hugely surprising jump in the FedEx Cup standings.

Our GolfBet team has adjusted its clocks after two weeks in Scotland and is ready for this week. Check out their favorite bets for the week at TPC Twin Cities below.

Wyndham Clark +5000 (BetMGM, DraftKings)

Jason Sobel: As I wrote in my preview, this week is a bullpen game. Let the aces rest and see if we can put together a group that can yield a victory.

I’ll be sprinkling a little on a handful of higher-priced outrights, including Emiliano Grillo, Beau Hossler and Callum Tarren, but I’ll list Clark here for his upside and wagering versatility. This is a course where I feel confident in playing a guy whose two best clubs in the bag are driver and putter.

Top-5/10 props are fine this week for Clark, as are matchups, though he might be most valuable as an FRL bet. When he gets hot, he can go low in a hurry, as evidenced by ranking eighth in first-round scoring average this season.

Garrick Higgo — Top 10 ,+1000 (BetMGM)

Chris Murphy: I’m going off the board a little bit this week and looking to ride some Sunday form with Garrick Higgo after his final-round 66 at The Open.

The South African played quite well last week, with the exception of a Saturday 76 that kept him from a better finish, but I was encouraged by the way he quickly bounced back with just one bogey on his card on Sunday. Higgo’s T46 at St. Andrews isn’t overly inspiring, but he comes to the Twin Cities carrying some confidence and is a player that seems to run hot with form.

This course should also fit his game, as the lefty is a long hitter that won’t be overly punished by his lack of accuracy on a course where fairways are pretty easy to hit. He also has a large split towards the bentgrass putting surfaces he’ll see at TPC Twin Cities, all of which makes him a play up and down the board for me this week.

Troy Merritt +6000 (BetRivers, WynnBet)

Matt Vincenzi: To say Troy Merritt is familiar with Minnesota golf would be an understatement.

Merritt moved to Minnesota before high school, during which he played his golf at Spring Lake Park. He used to watch the 3M Championship in person when it was a Champions Tour event, and he has played the course multiple times as a teenager.
Merritt will have plenty of friends and family at the event, but more importantly, he knows how to play this style of golf course.

“Spent plenty of years up here playing these styles of golf courses, and hopefully we can use that to our advantage this weekend,” Merritt said in 2021.

Aside from the familiarity, the 36-year-old has played some solid golf at TPC Twin Cities as a professional. Merritt finished seventh here at the course in 2019 and had another strong showing in 2021. His finish wasn’t spectacular, but he showed he could go low on the course, having been the co-leader after the first round with Rickie Fowler and Jonathan Vegas.

The two-time PGA TOUR winner’s form coming into the event is nothing special, although he did finish 30th and gain 7.5 strokes on approach at the Genesis Scottish Open, but he wasn’t in great form last year either. He fired the first round 7-under 64 after posting back-to-back missed cuts in his past two starts.

With a few events under his belt at TPC Twin Cities as a professional, perhaps some home cooking could propel him to his third PGA TOUR victory this week in Minnesota.

Sahith Theegala +2500 (BetMGM, WynnBet)

Derek Farnsworth: The outright number on Theegala this week continues to get smaller and smaller. If you are a fan, I recommend betting him sooner rather than later.

Theegala has quietly made 13 straight cuts worldwide and racked up high-end finishes of second, fifth, and seventh. We all remember the heartbreak that he suffered at the Travelers Championship, but he bounced back admirably with finishes of T16 at the Scottish Open and T34 at the Open Championship.

Many will play the fatigue narrative this week and avoid players who played in both events overseas, but Theegala is young and extremely motivated. I would argue that most of the big names in the field will treat this as more of an off week than those who are truly grinding and looking for their first win on TOUR.

Theegala is long off the tee, his iron play has made big strides over the last few months, and his game around the green is extremely underrated. We saw Matthew Wolff pick up his first professional win at this event in 2019, and I think we could see the same with Theegala this week.

Maverick McNealy — Top 10 (+280, FanDuel)

Rob Bolton: Without much chalk at TPC Twin Cities, I’m leaning into a higher finish among the young studs. He’s No. 5 in my Power Rankings at PGATOUR.com, so you could say that I’m allowing for bad luck (a/k/a golf) to trip up the projection.

McNealy finished T16 in his only prior appearance last year, but he was one back after three rounds. He’s also gone T8-T16-T9 from the Quad Cities to Scotland to Tahoe. Those are converging trends, class.

If you’re feelin’ frisky, FanDuel has a parlay consisting of a McNealy top 10 flanked by a Davis Riley top five and Cameron Tringale top 20. It can be found for +5500 in “Golf Specials 4.” Davis (No. 2) and Tringale (No. 10) are also in my PR.

Cameron Davis +2500 (BetRivers, Caesars, WynnBet)

Landon Silinsky: Davis’ game theoretically should be made for TPC Twin Cities, as he is both a bomber and a scoring machine, ranking inside the top 50 in both Driving Distance and Birdie or Better percentage this season.

Davis has also been locked in of late, coming off a solo sixth-place finish last week at the Barracuda and a T8 the week before that at the John Deere. The Aussie also posted a T7 at Colonial in late May and has made six straight cuts.

This will be Davis’ fourth time playing the 3M, having gone T12, T28 in each of the past two starts here after missing the cut in his inaugural start. He also ranks sixth in this field in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and seventh in Strokes Gained: Total over his last 24 rounds. He won on a similarly easy track last season at the Rocket Mortgage, and history could absolutely repeat itself here.

Davis Riley +2500 (BetMGM, Caesars)

Bryan Berryman: Riley has burst onto the scene in 2022 and quickly cemented himself as a rising star on the PGA TOUR. With five top-13 finishes in his last seven starts, he’s been knocking on the door of a win and should be a great fit for TPC Twin Cities.

Playing over 7,400 yards with water in play on 13 holes, total driving will be vital to success this week. Players who can hit it long off the tee while avoiding these water hazards will be at a distinct advantage to attack these soft and receptive bentgrass greens. Riley checks these boxes, hitting 62% of his fairways and averaging 310 yards off the tee.

We’ll also want to target elite iron players who give themselves plenty of birdie looks, as the winning score should be in the 16-under to 19-under range. Riley ranks third in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach and second in Birdie or Better percentage over the last 24 rounds.

Riley checks every box for me this week and is my favorite play on the board to win the 3M Open.

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