With four first-round contests on today’s NBA schedule, there is a ton of player prop betting value to be had. From Trae Young’s assist prop to Deandre Ayton’s fluffed rebounding total, we break it all down in our best player prop picks for April 24.
The NBA Playoffs give us an action-packed Sunday schedule with four games on the betting board, tipping off at 1:00 pm ET and distracting us from the pending work week until the late hours of the evening.
If you’re pushing off those Sunday chores to watch and wager on hoops all day, let us lend a helping hand to your laziness and give you our best free NBA player prop picks for April 24.
NBA player props for April 24
Picks made on 4/24/2022 at 11:30 am ET.
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
Getting Wiggy with it
Draymond Green is a straight shooter. If he likes or not – even if you’re on his team – you’ll know.
The Warriors ’veteran point forward had nothing but glowing reviews for teammate Andrew Wiggins and his efforts in the postseason. In three games against the Denver Nuggets, Wiggins is averaging 12.7 points on 53% shooting from the field, including a 55.6% clip from beyond the arc.
But it wasn’t Wiggins’ scoring that got Draymond jacked up, but his rebounding. The 6-foot-7 swingman has wrangled 23 rebounds in the series – 7.7 per game – which has been significant for Golden State when it rolls out a smaller lineup to put Denver on its heels.
Wiggins only attempted six shots in Game 3, knocking down three of those including a clutch triple from the corner after missing the exact same shot the possession prior. His confidence didn’t waiver and with the Nuggets defense having to pick its poison, Denver may decide to sell out on stopping Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry while crossing its fingers that Wiggins doesn’t hurt them.
We like Wiggins to keep contributing and stuff the stat sheet with some extra looks on offense.
Pick: Andrew Wiggins Over 19.5 points + rebounds (-115)
Covers NBA betting analysis
Young at heart
Trae Young’s last-second heroics in Game 3 can snowball into something bigger for the Atlanta Hawks. And with the Miami Heat possibly missing some starters (Kyle Lowry and PJ Tucker listed as questionable), the window is open Sunday.
Young and the Hawks could face a much different defensive look from Miami, considering those injuries above. The Heat will be forced to play Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson more, which works well on offense but takes the teeth out of a defense that had great success slowing down Young & Co. in the first two games.
Young is still the focal point of the Miami defense, drawing quick pick-ups and plenty of aggressive switches, but it could be the Hawks’ supporting cast that benefits from the Heat’s drop in defensive depth. The bench stepped up big in Game 3 and center Clint Capela could come back for Sunday as well, giving Young capable scoring outputs to feed. The Hawks are also a much more efficient offense inside the State Farm Arena.
Young finished with only four assists against Miami’s all-out blitz in Game 1 but has dished out seven and eight in the previous two contests. His assist total for tonight is as low as 8.5 at FanDuel sportsbooks while the rest of the industry is dealing 9.5. We’ll lay a little extra lumber for that shorter player prop.
Pick: Trae Young Over 8.5 assists (-142)
Living in glass houses
The Phoenix Suns know how to survive when one of their superstars are sidelined, as evidence by Deandre Ayton’s efforts in Game 3 versus New Orleans. The Suns center scored 28 points and grabbed 17 rebounds, helping cushion the blow of losing leading scorer Devin Booker to a hamstring injury.
Ayton’s big night on the boards has puffed up his rebounding prop for Game 4, with books dealing the total as high as 11.5 boards. While Ayton is a good enough rebounder, he’s rarely gone Over that current number – especially against NOLA.
Before collecting 17 rebounds on Friday, Ayton had nine boards in each of the first two contests of the series. He upped his rebounding rate toward the end of the season but the 6-foot-11 Arizona product averages just 10.2 boards on the year and is battling with one of the best rebounding teams in the land.
The Pelicans sit No. 3 in rebound rate at 52.1% and have formidable guys on the glass such as Jonas Valanciunas, Brandon Ingram, and 6-foot-11 Jaxson Hayes who got tossed in the first half of Game 3 and left New Orleans’ frontcourt short against Ayton.
With NOLA’s big men back in action, Ayton’s work on the boards should be tempered to his season average or lower. Before Game 3, Ayton posted rebounding efforts of nine, nine, five, and five in the four prior matchups with the Pelicans.
Most shops are selling Ayton at 10.5 rebounds Over / Under but FanDuel is dealing this player prop total one board higher at 11.5 with the Under at -130.
Pick: Deandre Ayton Under 11.5 rebounds (-130)
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