PFT’s Week 6 2022 NFL picks

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Yes, it’s already Week Six. Finally, the byes begin. Which means fewer opportunities to get games right.

And fewer opportunities to get games wrong.

Last week, I had another 12-4 performance. MDS won 11-5.

For the year, I’m at 49-30-1. MDS is 41-38-1.

This week, we disagree on five games. For all selections, keep scrolling.

Commanders (even) at Bears

MDS’s take: This should be the NFL’s second consecutive lousy Thursday night game, between two teams that appear to be having some buyer’s remorse about their quarterbacks. I have a little more faith in Justin Fields than in Carson Wentz.

MDS’s pick: Bears 16, Commanders 13.

Florio’s take: The short week is a bad week for any team to have a distraction created by the coach’s misspeaking. The misstep should help the Bears get back to .500.

Florio’s pick: Bears 20, Commanders 13.


49ers (-5.5) at Falcons

MDS’s take: The 49ers are now the clear favorites in the NFC West, and they’ll cruise against a Falcons team that isn’t going anywhere in the NFC South.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 27, Falcons 17.

Florio’s take: The 49ers don’t mess around with inferior foes; they dismantle them.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 30, Falcons 13.


Patriots (+2.5) at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns have a good offense that should be able to move the ball against the Patriots, and I don’t trust rookie quarterback Bailey Zappe to put many points on the board even against a bad Cleveland defense.

MDS’s pick: Browns 24, Patriots 17.

Florio’s take: The Patriots are getting better. The Browns are becoming too inconsistent.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 24, Browns 20.


Jets (+7.5) at Packers

MDS’s take: Aaron Rodgers was right when he said that the Packers haven’t played four good quarters yet this season. I don’t think they’ll play a great game on Sunday, either, but I don’t think they’ll need to play a great game to beat the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Packers 27, Jets 24.

Florio’s take: The Packers are having a hard time putting inferior teams away. The Jets may not be all that inferior.

Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Jets 20.


Jaguars (+2) at Colts

MDS’s take: Early in the season I thought the Jaguars were making a lot of progress towards turning the franchise around. Sunday’s loss to the Texans made me reconsider that.

MDS’s pick: Colts 24, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: The Colts find a way to get on the right side of .500. Somehow.

Florio’s pick: Colts 20, Jaguars 17.


Vikings (-3.5) at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Top to bottom the Dolphins are the better team, but with rookie Skylar Thompson set to make the first start of his NFL career in Miami, I have to go with the Vikings.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 21, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: The Vikings keep doing just enough to win, thanks to plenty of good luck. Their luck runs out this week.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 24, Vikings 21.


Bengals (-1.5) at Saints

MDS’s take: The Saints’ offense turned in an impressive performance without Jameis Winston last week, but the Bengals’ defense is playing very well this season and should lead them to a win in a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 13, Saints 10.

Florio’s take: Joe Burrow returns to New Orleans and gets the Bengals back on the right track.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 28, Saints 20.


Ravens (-6) at Giants

MDS’s take: Give the Giants all the credit in the world for a 4-1 start in what was supposed to be a rebuilding season, but the Ravens are going to come to town and dominate them.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 30, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Don’t be surprised if the Giants pull this one off, thanks to the knowledge of the offense carried to New York by former Ravens defensive coordinator Don Martindale.

Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Ravens 20.


Buccaneers (-8) at Steelers

MDS’s take: It’s been an ugly season for the Steelers, and it’s going to get uglier when a good Buccaneers defense gets its hands on Kenny Pickett.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Steelers 7.

Florio’s take: The hole keeps getting deeper for the Steelers. It’s hard to imagine them getting embarrassed two weeks in a row.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Steelers 17.


Panthers (+10) at Rams

MDS’s take: PJ Walker will be an improvement over Baker Mayfield as the Panthers’ starting quarterback, but this Panthers team has too many holes, and the Rams should cruise.

MDS’s pick: Rams 30, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: The Rams get back on track against a team reeling from the firing of Matt Rhule.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, Panthers 13.


Cardinals (-3) at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Seahawks’ offense has defied all expectations with Geno Smith running the show, but at some point they’re going to come back to earth, and I think that point may come this week.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 17, Seahawks 16.

Florio’s take: The Seahawks are inconsistent. This feels like a week when they’ll be due to finagle a win.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 27.


Bills (-2.5) at Chiefs

MDS’s take: This is billed as Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes, but to me the difference is that the Bills have a better defense and better special teams.

MDS’s pick: Bills 28, Chiefs 24.

Florio’s take: This one may determine the site of the rematch. Last year, it didn’t. The Bills are the better team right now, the Chiefs are operating on a short week, and the Buffalo starters got a little extra rest during their blowout of the Bills.

Florio’s pick: Bills 31, Chiefs 24.


Cowboys (+6) at Eagles

MDS’s take: This looked like a good game before the season, but it looks like a great game now. The Eagles will earn a hard-fought win and put themselves in prime position to walk away with the NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 27, Cowboys 20.

Florio’s take: This one could go either way. The defense gives the Cowboys a slight edge.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 20, Eagles 19.


Broncos (+4.5) at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Broncos’ offense has been abysmal this season, and I don’t see them scoring much on Monday night in Los Angeles. Justin Herbert will lead the Chargers to what should be an easy win.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 28, Broncos 14.

Florio’s take: At least this one isn’t in Denver.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 27, Broncos 16.

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