Tropical Depression 9 forecast to hit Florida as Category 3 hurricane

BUT FIRST, THE LATEST ADVISORY IS OUT. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI AND METEOROLOGIST ALEX ALECCI HAVE BEEN LOOKING AT THE MODELS. TONY, WHAT’S THE LATEST INFO? TONY: I TELL YOU WHAT, AT LEAST INITIALLY YOU LOOK AT THE ADVISORY, THE FORD SPEED HAS INCREASED FROM 14 TO 15. PRESSURE IS HOLDING STEADY. WINDS ARE AT 35 MILES AN HOUR. THE WINDSHEAR KEEPING THINGS IN CHECK THUS FAR TODAY FROM THE NORTHEAST SIDE. WHEN YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE DEPTH OF THE WARMER WATERS IN THE CARIBBEAN, ESPECIALLY WEST OF KINGSTON, JAMAICA AND THE GRAND CAYMAN ISLANDS, THERE IS A LOT OF FUEL FOR A TROPICAL SYSTEM TO FEAST OFF. AND YOU CAN SEE THE NEW TRACK IS MORE SOUTH AND WEST OF KINGSTON. BUT THEN IT MAKES A TURN INTO SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, VERY SIMILAR TO WHAT CHARLIE DID, ALTHOUGH CHARLIE WAS INCREDIBLY FAST. ZOOMING IN. THERE IS YOUR ETA BASED ON THE LATEST INFORMATION. 2:00 PM, 150 MILE PER HOUR’S — 150 MILE PER HOUR WINDS JUST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. LOOK AT THIS, LASTLY WITHIN THE MODELS OF THE CONE, THERE ARE ONE OR TWO OUTLIERS ON THE WESTERN SIDE. WE HAVE SEEN A TRACK TOWARDS THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CONE AS OPPOSED TO EARLIER IN THE MORNING WHEN THE TRENDS WERE MORE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. IF YOU’RE JUST GETTING HOME, THAT IS THE MINOR ADJUSTMENT. EITHER WAY, LATE TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY, IF THINGS DO NOT CHANGE, THAT IS WHEN WE GET INTO TROUBLE BECAUSE WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE INTENSITY FORECAST, A MAJORITY OF THEM RIGHT AROUND CATEGORY 3. WITH MORE HERE IS ALEX. ALEX: WE ARE TRACKING IT CLOSELY. IF THE MODELS VERIFY, ESPECIALLY ON THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST, THIS IS WHEN WE COULD SEE THE EARLIEST ARRIVAL OF THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. FOR CENTRAL FLORIDA, ALMOST ALL OF US IN THE YELLOW. WE MIGHT SEE — WE MIGHT SEE THOSE WINDS ON TUESDAY EVENING. YOU WANT TO GET YOUR PREP STARTED NOW. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW, WE HAVE TO KEEP CHECKING THAT TODAY, TOMORROW NAILING DOWN THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM. AND THEN AS WE GET INTO SUNDAY, THAT IS WHEN YOU NEED YOUR HURRICANE KIT STOCKED UP. YOU WANT TO GET IT DONE EARLY. THE STORES WILL BE FULL AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND. BY MONDAY CAN HAVE AN OUTDOOR PREP STONE. BY TUESDAY, THE STORM ARRIVES. BY WEDNESDAY, IT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH THROUGH.

NHC forecasts Tropical Depression 9 will hit Florida as a Category 3 hurricane

Invest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine on Friday morning. It had a new burst of convection and is becoming better organized. As of 5 am, Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon. See the latest maps, models and paths here In the latest forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the system could hit Florida as a major hurricane, or a Category 3 hurricane. The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and track the forecast. “We still have Tropical Depression Nine, as of the 11 am advisory,” WESH 2 meteorologist Kellianne Klass said. “Tropical Depression Nine is still expected to become a tropical storm later today, but it will struggle to do so. Conditions this weekend look more favorable for development. This storm is expected to strengthen to a major Category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph by Wednesday morning. There is still a lot of uncertainty about where exactly this system will make landfall in Florida. Southwest Florida to Tampa Bay are all in play for landfall. Still thinking the impacts for Central Florida will be around Tuesday through Thursday. GFS and European models are still not in agreement with the speed of the storm. GFS has the storm lingering off of the coast through Friday. The European model kicks the storm out by Thursday. This is still a fluid situation as we still need to fine-tune the exact landfall and timing of the storm.”Below: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes a deep dive into the tracks and models KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUEDStay tuned to WESH 2 News, wesh.c om, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates. Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind. Understand hurricane forecast models and cones. Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood. Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications. The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes. Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per dayCanned food and soup, such as beans and chiliCan opener for the cans without the easy-open lidsAssemble a first-aid kitTwo weeks’ worth of prescription medicationsBaby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapersFlashlight and batteriesBattery-operated weather radioWHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUEDListen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave. Complete preparation activities. If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows. Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows. HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANE smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath. Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | AndroidEnable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts. If you have an Android phone, from the home page of the app, scroll to the right along the bottom and click on “settings.” On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts. PET AND ANIMAL SAFETY Your pet should be a part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death. Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets. Ask friends, relatives and others outside of the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

Invest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine on Friday morning.

It had a new burst of convection and is becoming better organized.

As of 5 am, Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon.

See the latest maps, models and paths here

In the latest forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the system could hit Florida as a major hurricane, or a Category 3 hurricane. The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and track the forecast.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information at their website.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information at their website.

This content is imported from Twitter. You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information at their website.

“We still have Tropical Depression Nine, as of the 11 am advisory,” WESH 2 meteorologist Kellyanne Klass said. “Tropical Depression Nine is still expected to become a tropical storm later today, but it will struggle to do so. Conditions this weekend look more favorable for development. This storm is expected to strengthen to a major Category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph by Wednesday morning. There is still a lot of uncertainty about where exactly this system will make landfall in Florida. Southwest Florida to Tampa Bay are all in play for landfall. Still thinking the impacts for Central Florida will be around Tuesday through Thursday. GFS and European models are still not in agreement with the speed of the storm. GFS has the storm lingering off of the coast through Friday. The European model kicks the storm out by Thursday. This is still a fluid situation as we still need to fine-tune the exact landfall and timing of the storm.”

Below: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes a deep dive into the tracks and models

KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED

  • Stay tuned to WESH 2 News, wesh.com, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.
  • Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.
  • Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.
  • Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.
  • Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications.

The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.

  • Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per day
  • Canned food and soup, such as beans and chili
  • Can opener for the cans without the easy-open lids
  • Assemble a first-aid kit
  • Two weeks’ worth of prescription medications
  • Baby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapers
  • Flashlight and batteries
  • Battery operated weather radio

WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED

  • Listen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave.
  • Complete preparation activities
  • If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows.
  • Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.

HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANE

A smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath.

Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | Android

Enable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts.

If you have an Android phone, from the home page of the app, scroll to the right along the bottom and click on “settings.” On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts.

PET AND ANIMAL SAFETY

Your pet should be a part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death.

  • Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets.
  • Ask friends, relatives and others outside the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

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